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Stef de Haan, a solar analyst at IHS, predicts that polysilicon plant utilization will reach its peak in two years. The report highlights that nearly half of the 44 GW of solar capacity installed globally this year came from China and Japan, underscoring the region's dominant role in the market.
In 2012, the average price of polysilicon dropped by approximately 42%, but the market remained volatile throughout 2013, with only a slight increase in November. After hitting $21.75 per kilogram in late April this year, de Haan forecasts that prices could climb further to around $25, marking a nearly 10% increase. This upward trend is expected to drive sales to $5 billion, up 33% from previous levels.
The positive outlook has already translated into strong investor confidence. Over the past 12 months, GCL-Poly's stock on the Hong Kong Exchange has surged by 48%, while Wacker Chemie's shares climbed 43%, and OCI saw a 28% increase. As demand continues to grow, the polysilicon industry is poised for a significant expansion, with key players positioning themselves to capitalize on the rising market.
Sino-Japanese polysilicon demand continues to soar or reach a new high in three years
Abstract According to recent reports, global polysilicon sales are expected to rise by 15% to exceed $6 billion, fueled by strong demand from China and Japan. If this forecast proves accurate, the market could hit a new peak within the next three years. Since 2012, polysilicon prices have steadily increased, prompting major players like GCL-Poly and Wacker Chemie to expand their production capacities in anticipation of continued growth.