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Plastic rose stagnation
The ex-factory price of polyethylene (LLDPE) has seen an upward adjustment, which aligns with market expectations. However, the increase is relatively modest, ranging from 100 to 150 yuan per ton. Following the price hike, many regional prices are now hovering around 12,000 yuan per ton, a key psychological level in the market. Whether the price can sustainably rise above this level depends largely on the purchasing behavior of downstream buyers.
For example, Fujian United’s 7042 grade was increased by 100 yuan/ton, bringing it to 11,900 yuan/ton. Guangzhou Petrochemical raised its 7042 price by 150 yuan/ton, reaching 12,050 yuan/ton. Maoming Petrochemical and Qilu Petrochemical both increased their 7042 prices by 100 yuan/ton, setting them at 11,900 yuan/ton each. Yangzi Petrochemical also lifted its 7042 price by 150 yuan/ton to 12,050 yuan/ton, while PetroChina East China quoted its 7042 at 11,950 yuan/ton.
Similarly, the ex-factory price of polypropylene (PP) also saw a slight increase, though the overall rise was less significant compared to PE. Daqing Refinery’s T30S grade increased by 100 yuan/ton, now priced at 11,450 yuan/ton. Fujian Joint’s T30S rose by 100 yuan/ton to 11,600 yuan/ton. Maoming Petrochemical’s T30S was adjusted up by 100 yuan/ton to 11,650 yuan/ton, while Qilu Petrochemical increased its T30S by 150 yuan/ton to 11,450 yuan/ton. CNPC East China quoted its T30S at 11,450 yuan/ton.
With the ex-factory prices rising, spot market prices have also increased. However, transaction volumes remain moderate, with most traders adopting a cautious approach, waiting for clearer signals. As the market approaches the 12,000 yuan/ton level, downstream merchants are not rushing to buy, keeping demand relatively subdued.
The plastics market has been reacting to the recent price increases, but today’s trading activity remains weak, with shrinking volume and limited enthusiasm. The current price spread is below 200 yuan, indicating limited room for further gains in futures. It is still possible that the market may experience a correction, although the price is expected to hold above 12,000 yuan/ton in the short term.
If a pullback occurs, the price is unlikely to drop back to the 11,650–11,700 range. Therefore, it is not advisable to bet against the market at this point. Instead, maintaining a long position and taking profits during a pullback is recommended. In the afternoon, PP prices showed some easing, with traders locking in previous gains. If a support level is reached, the first target could be 11,180 yuan/ton.
Jiuzhi Plastics Network
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