There is no danger in the rare rise of rare earth prices.

Abstract In the first half of the year, the rare earth market was sluggish, and both prices and sales volume dropped. In the absence of demand support, the recent rare earth prices have risen against the trend, and Baotou Steel Rare Earth and Minmetals Rare Earth stocks have successively increased their daily limit last week. "This round of rare earth prices has risen without reason. &rdq...
In the first half of the year, the rare earth market was sluggish, and both prices and sales volume dropped. In the absence of demand support, the recent rare earth prices have risen against the trend, and Baotou Steel Rare Earth and Minmetals Rare Earth stocks have successively increased their daily limit last week.

"This round of rare earth prices rose without reason." Baichuan Information Rare Earth analyst Du Shuaibing told reporters.

In addition to Baotou Steel's rare earth price increase, Minmetals, the industry insiders said that the rectification of rare earth industry in Ganzhou, traders to take advantage of the price of goods, is also the reason for this round of rare earth prices.

It is reported that the rare earth smelting and separating plant owned by Minmetals Rare Earth (Chuzhou) Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Jixian Hongjin Rare Earth Co., Ltd., also involved the use of private mines, which has been suspended since late June. The reporter asked China Minmetals Group for the above problems, and Minmetals said that he did not know about the matter.

Rare earth prices rise abnormally

Since the beginning of this year, the price of rare earth has been sluggish, and the price has fallen back to the level before the 2011 surge. However, leading enterprises such as Baotou Steel Rare Earth have recently raised prices against the market.

The first half of the results announcement of Xiamen Tungsten and China National Colors Co., Ltd. showed that the rare earth market was sluggish in the first half of the year, and both prices and sales volume dropped significantly.

On July 11, Xiamen Tungsten announced its first-half results announcement. The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 71.175 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 77.69%. Among them, rare earth products continued to be sluggish in the first half of this year, and sales prices and sales volume decreased sharply year-on-year, resulting in the loss of the operating company's loss due to operating losses and provision for inventory of RMB 109 million. China National Color Co., Ltd. expects net profit attributable to shareholders of listed companies in the first half of the year to be 13.91.36 million yuan to 34,738,900 yuan, down 50% to 80% over the same period of the previous year.

The market is in a downturn, and in the off-season of traditional sales, leading companies have begun to raise prices to save the market. On July 11, Baotou Steel Rare Earth raised the price of metal bismuth to 365,000 yuan, while the price at the beginning of June was only 310,000 yuan. The end of the month was 340,000 yuan.

In addition, since June 20, the prices of some rare earth varieties have also gradually increased. Light rare earths represent 12% increase in cerium oxide, and medium-heavy rare earths represent 30% increase in cerium oxide. According to the data provided by Baichuan Information, as of July 12, the price of bismuth oxide market was 285,000~295,000 yuan/ton, the price of ton was 5,000 yuan higher than the previous day; the metal bismuth was 380,000~385,000. Yuan/ton, the price of tons increased by 15,000 yuan from the previous day; the bismuth oxide was 3200~3400 yuan/kg, and the price per kilogram rose by 400 yuan.

Minmetals' separation plant was investigated

The person interviewed by the reporter believes that this round of rare earth price increases is due to the comprehensive crackdown on private mines and the rare earth traders in Zhangzhou.

In June, the branch bureau directly under the Jiangxi Quzhou Bureau of Mine Management cooperated with the safety supervision department to conduct special inspections on non-coal mine enterprises in the area under its jurisdiction, and comprehensively cracked down on rare earth private mines. A number of private mineral inventories were seized. The reporter learned from some rare earth enterprises in Zhangzhou that the Jixian Red Gold Rare Earth Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Minmetals Rare Earth, was temporarily suspended due to the use of private mines.

Jixian Red Gold Rare Earth is an important local rare earth separation enterprise. In 2008, Minmetals Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd., together with Minmetals Hongjin Rare Earth Co., Ltd. and Dingnan Dahua New Materials Resources Co., Ltd., jointly established Minmetals Rare Earth (Zhangzhou) Co., Ltd., Jixian Red Gold Rare Earth and Dingnan Dahua New Materials was included in the Minmetals Rare Earth.

This is the layout of the central enterprises competing for the rare earth map of the South. The central enterprises basically realized that they would compete for the rare earths in the south after the price of rare earth began to rise in 2008, but they cooperated with local separated enterprises and intervened from the separation and smelting.

Minmetals Rare Earth (Zhangzhou) Co., Ltd. has no production capacity, and generally achieves sales through trade procurement. A local person in charge of rare earth application materials told reporters: "There is a game between interest groups. The source of minerals is in the hands of Cangzhou Rare Earth Mining Company, and it must be fed to its own enterprises. Other separation plants are stuck in the neck and are not full. ”

“The source of minerals from the formal channels is not enough. The separation plant has to take private mines from other sources.” The person in charge of the above-mentioned enterprises said, “The Luzhou Red Gold Rare Earth was arrested in this rectification, and production was suspended at the end of June. ."

The reporter asked China Minmetals Group for the above problems, and Minmetals said that he did not know about the matter.

Separation plant does not eat enough traders

A number of heads of rare earth separation plants told reporters that the company's mandatory production plan indicators do not match the company's production capacity. Taking Qixian Red Gold Rare Earth Co., Ltd. as an example, on January 15 this year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the first batch of rare earth directive production plan notices in 2013, and Jixian Hongjin Rare Earth Company won the first batch of mandatory indicators this year. At 835 tons, Dingnan Dahua New Materials Co., Ltd. obtained 600 tons. Generally, the first batch of quotas is equivalent to half of the annual quota.

The production capacity of the two rare earth enterprises totals 9,000 tons/year, of which the county's red gold is 4,600 tons/year, and the south of the country is 4,400 tons/year. According to public information, in 2010, the two companies had a separation output of 7,000 tons and a capacity utilization rate of nearly 80%. In 2011, the capacity utilization rate was less than 50%. In 2012, the actual production was 2,194 tons, and the capacity utilization rate was reduced to 20%. According to the calculation of this year's indicators, the capacity utilization rate of the two rare earth separation plants in Minzhou and Minzhou is only over 30%.

"In this case, the separation plant will go to the private mine in order to ensure the efficiency." A person in charge of the separation company said, but now the state is fighting against private mines, and some of the separation plants have to be hungry. The person in charge of the company told reporters that, taking their company as an example, the regular mine source is only half of the normal starting capacity.

Under the attack on private mines in the country, some enterprises have been rectified and stopped production. Traders have taken advantage of this opportunity. According to industry insiders, many rare earth traders in Ganzhou do not currently ship, and the prices are rising.

"Rare earth prices have been reduced to a certain extent, the separation plants are losing money, the price has been in the bottom range, rare earth companies and traders need to stimulate everyone, the market too needs incentives to let the price fly for a while, although this practice is contrary to order." The person in charge of the above company said.

However, Du Shuaibing is not optimistic about the market outlook: "How long can this practice last? Europe will enter the summer vacation soon, and procurement will be even more depressed." The price of rare earths that lack demand support will continue to be depressed after various artificial incentives.

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