Polysilicon prices bottomed out, the domestic market is the key

Abstract Solar energy has become more and more important due to environmental protection and energy conservation, and the global attention to environmental protection. Countries have introduced policies to strengthen the support of green energy and new energy sources such as solar energy and wind energy. In 2009, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development jointly issued the "Speeding up...

Solar energy has become more and more important due to environmental protection and energy conservation, and the global attention to environmental protection. Countries have introduced policies to strengthen the support of green and new energy sources such as solar energy and wind energy. In 2009, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development jointly issued the “Implementation Opinions on Accelerating the Application of Solar Photovoltaic Buildings”, which was followed by various opinions and measures. As a key component of solar cells, polysilicon Great attention has been paid, and many polysilicon manufacturers have been established.

With the continuous deepening of China's reform and opening up, the national economy is also steadily moving forward, and various good factors have promoted the positive development of the new energy industry represented by polysilicon. By the end of 2010, China's polysilicon production capacity and output reached 80,000 tons and 43,500 tons respectively, accounting for 48% and 25.7% of the world, ranking first and second in the world. It is estimated that China's polysilicon production capacity and output will reach 120,000 tons and 70,000 tons respectively in 2011, while the domestic demand for polysilicon for photovoltaic power generation is only 16,000 tons.

Since the initial high-purity polysilicon equipment and technology were monopolized by foreign big companies, and the raw materials were scarce, the price remained high for quite some time. This also promoted the development of China's polysilicon industry on the one hand, and many capitals poured into the solar polysilicon industry. . However, the recent performance of the silicon material market is sluggish, and it has been continuously declining for a long time. The polysilicon enterprises in China are closely related to the prices of these silicon materials. Therefore, the price of polysilicon has been falling for several months, even lower than the cost of most domestic polysilicon enterprises. Below the line, the current price of polysilicon is maintained at US$30/kg, even 3.68% higher than before, but it is still below the cost line of domestic enterprises.

Since the beginning of 2011, European countries have experienced debt crises, so subsidies for photovoltaics have also fallen, and the demand for photovoltaic polysilicon is also in a downward trend. The backlog of polysilicon stocks is serious and prices are falling all the way. The shrinking demand in the terminal market, coupled with the release of polysilicon production capacity at home and abroad, has led to a decline in the price of polysilicon products. China's photovoltaic products represented by polysilicon are 95% dependent on exports to Europe and the United States. Therefore, once the economic and political changes in Europe and the United States change, it will seriously restrict the survival of China's PV companies. Domestic PV companies should actively explore the domestic market. At present, the state has also introduced a series of measures to encourage the development of the photovoltaic industry. Moreover, the price of polysilicon has fallen below the cost line, causing some PV companies to close down, although the demand in the European and American markets will not increase much, but There will be some growth in the Japanese and Chinese markets, which will alleviate the stability of polysilicon prices and the recovery trend of the downstream market.

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